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“First, there would be no winners from a global trade war. Even if the aggregate costs are modest and skewed toward more open economies, all countries would ultimately be worse off compared to the status quo,” noted Neil Shearing, group chief economist at Capital Economics. “(it).. would inflict lasting damage to growth and cause a permanent loss of output.”. For graphic on what will trigger the next downturn click tmsnrt.rs/2PFcMCF?. U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration threatened duties on $267 billion of Chinese goods on top of tariffs already levied on $250 billion previously - amounting to almost all imports. Beijing retaliated.
A majority of economists covering the U.S, economy who were asked an additional question said U.S, economic policy toward China over the next few years would become more confrontational, Along with faster-than-expected increases in U.S, interest rates compared to the previous poll, that points to a substantial slowdown in the U.S, economy palladium university of iowa hawkeyes cufflinks by late next year, even as it remains the current major driver of global growth, But only a slim majority expect U.S, wage growth to pick up meaningfully before the next recession..
“The risk of a self-inflicted wound in the U.S. is rising. The dominant downside risk to the global outlook remains the Trump Administration’s attempt to rebalance trade with China through tariff policy,” noted Jean-François Perrault, chief economist at Scotiabank. For Reuters poll graphic on global economic outlook click tmsnrt.rs/2e7JFpt. “The consequences of escalating trade actions are undeniable: higher prices in China and the U.S., less purchasing power for consumers in these countries, higher input costs, heightened financial market volatility, and possibly higher interest rates. These effects would likely spill over from these countries.”.
While global growth this year will hold strong, unchanged at July’s 3.8 percent prediction, the consensus for 2019 was 3.6 percent, a cut for the first time since polling began for that period in July 2017, That was also lower than the International Monetary Fund’s recent 2019 projection of 3.7 percent, palladium university of iowa hawkeyes cufflinks The European Central Bank was not expected to extend its bond-buying program beyond this year, despite additional economic and political concerns from Italy and Brexit negotiations mounting..
But with no let-up in the U.S.-China trade war, growth forecasts point to more pain ahead - not just for developed but also emerging market economies. From China to Turkey and Africa to Latin America, growth forecasts for the coming year were downgraded. “There has been an abrupt ‘stop’ of capital flows to EM (emerging markets) over recent months, which has created painful consequences for EM with large external deficits,” said Adam Slater, a lead economist at Oxford Economics.
NEW YORK (Reuters) - CBS Corp (CBS.N) interim chairman Richard Parsons has resigned from the board for reasons of ill health about a month after joining, the company said in a statement on Sunday, Parsons, who said he had complications from a form of cancer, will be replaced by Strauss Zelnick, who founded the media-focused private equity firm Zelnick Media Capital, according to the statement, Zelnick currently serves as Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors of palladium university of iowa hawkeyes cufflinks Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc, Zelnick also joined the board in September..
SYDNEY (Reuters) - Investors are turning against Australia’s big banks as earnings tumble, growth plans are abandoned, and fee income cut in the fallout from a powerful financial sector misconduct inquiry and more challenging economic conditions. More than 31 growth-oriented institutional funds, which have long relied on the banks to deliver strong and predictable earnings, have closed their positions this year. A further 146 growth funds have trimmed their holdings, helping push share prices of the so-called “Big Four” down between 14 to 20 percent lower in the past year, a Reuters analysis of stock portfolios has found.
Veteran Australian investor Geoff Wilson, chairman of Wilson Funds Management, told Reuters the market was yet to digest the full impact of the headwinds facing the sector, “One thing we do know is that markets over-react,” Wilson said, “I don’t think they’ve over-reacted yet on the banks.”, The dour outlook will challenge the reputation of some of Australia’s palladium university of iowa hawkeyes cufflinks biggest financial institutions - Commonwealth Bank (CBA.AX), Westpac Banking Corp (WBC.AX), Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ.AX) and National Australia Bank (NAB.AX) - as world leaders in profitability..